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Great American eclipse of 21 August 2017

What will the Solar Eclipse of 2017 look like?
A Coronal Prediction

Our Sun, and other stars, are surrounded by an atmosphere, a brightly glowing plasma that is usually overwhelmed by the Sun's radiance.   Like a pearly aura, this atmosphere, or corona, will become visible during the total solar eclipse of 21 August 2017. Our Sun is a dynamic, constantly-changing, magnetic star.  So the corona of each total solar eclipse has a unique and beautiful shape that is determined by the Sun's magnetic fields.   About a month before the eclipse, solar scientists are able to predict that shape!

It's All About Magnetism

The Earth's magnetic field resembles that of a bar magnet with its poles near the geographic poles of the Earth The field is generated deep in the Earth's core, where the iron is as hot as the Sun's surface, but the crushing pressure caused by gravity prevents it from becoming liquid Surrounding this core is a thick layer of primarily iron and nickel.Under less pressure than the inner core, these metals can liquefy. This flow of liquid iron generates electric currents, which in turn produce magnetic fields. The Earth's magnetic field remains fairly steady over thousands of years. the Earth's magnetic field
the Sun's magnetic field The Sun's magnetic field is quite different. There is a polar field somewhat similar to the Earth's, with lines of force that fan out into space from the north and south poles.  But there are also equatorial fields generated by the bubbling and roiling gases.  The Sun's magnetic fields are constantly changing on timescales ranging from a fraction of a second to billions of years>

How does this work?

The Sun is made of plasma, a gas-like state of matter in which electrons are stripped from their nuclei. Both the electrons and the stripped atoms now carry an electrical charge. The result is a super-hot mix of charged particles, and when charged particles move, they create magnetic fields. When these magnetic fields rise from the solar interior, they emerge through the Sun's surface and reach high into the corona.

a pair of sunspots on the Sun a pair of sunspots on the Sun

Magnetic fields, of course, are invisible.  But plasma can be trapped in them, and hence show us the shape, just as we use iron filings to trace the field of a bar magnet.  The Sun's magnetic fields are responsible for solar activity.  Sunspots result from magnetic fields emerging through the solar surface.  And, it is the breaking and reconnecting of these magnetic fields that cause solar flares and the resulting coronal mass ejections (plasma shot into space)!  

It is the shape of the Sun's magnetic fields at the time of the eclipse that determines how the corona will appear.

The Solar Cycle Plays a Role

The shape of the corona is also determined by the solar cycle.  Every 11 years or so, the Sun moves from a period of high solar activity (Solar Maximum), with lots of magnetic fields, sunspots, and flares, to a period of low solar activity (Solar Minimum), with few sunspots and less activity.  During solar maximum, the ubiquitous magnetic fields hold the plasma in tightly, so the corona appears more circular.  During solar minimum, with fewer magnetic fields, the plasma is freer to move out, especially in the equatorial regions, and the corona appears more elliptical.   We are currently approaching solar minimum, so we expect to see more of an elliptical coronal pattern in our total eclipse.

The Predicted Shape

By observing the Sun's magnetic fields[1] solar scientists at Predictive Science, Inc. were able to predict the shape of the corona on July 25, one complete solar rotation (about 27 Earth days) before August 21 –when  the same side of the Sun will be facing us as on July 25.  The fields may change a little, but the basic structure should remain fairly constant.

Streams of light protruding from the Sun's north and south pole will be visible, as well as concentrated bubbles of light close to the surface. 

Coronal magnetic field prediction Coronal prediction

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[1] Using HMI magnetograms from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)

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